Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 12.160315 13.883053 15.768937 17.987671 20.528068 23.347704 26.717256
2026-02-01 9.594079 11.797484 14.397089 17.694333 21.771432 26.656012 32.965431
2026-02-08 8.060278 10.448512 13.420401 17.397913 22.594955 29.172945 38.160673
2026-02-15 6.961726 9.423589 12.624095 17.101382 23.223827 31.333512 42.942930
2026-02-22 6.471676 9.099235 12.648926 17.811976 25.161390 35.295433 50.414983
2026-03-01 5.939568 8.638222 12.410923 18.092660 26.476243 38.460269 57.016457
2026-03-08 5.394807 8.090134 11.977056 18.018986 27.230533 40.837905 62.635366
2026-03-15 4.912983 7.578801 11.534960 17.867091 27.818034 42.972432 68.026243
2026-03-22 4.680717 7.417033 11.590005 18.457897 29.567200 46.985253 76.664171
2026-03-29 4.451035 7.233399 11.586778 18.942206 31.168967 50.873418 85.421548
2026-04-05 4.280676 7.125847 11.687607 19.590753 33.074808 55.384852 95.587983
2026-04-12 3.916469 6.665770 11.174344 19.168426 33.140514 56.828471 100.613867
2026-04-19 3.603724 6.270218 10.742188 18.856503 33.383926 58.620174 106.468758
2026-04-26 3.324562 5.908713 10.337334 18.554083 33.610868 60.390036 112.430858
2026-05-03 3.072804 5.573564 9.949046 18.242725 33.783759 62.057524 118.322915
2026-05-10 2.845965 5.264080 9.580139 17.931412 33.920880 63.653273 124.194215
2026-05-17 2.791317 5.266041 9.773041 18.677453 36.101877 69.228801 138.271552
2026-05-24 2.677884 5.147675 9.732563 18.972150 37.431620 73.275271 149.658982
2026-05-31 2.525607 4.942417 9.511460 18.894797 38.016598 75.903127 158.375536
2026-06-07 2.375837 4.730210 9.260297 18.735319 38.418025 78.186133 166.559703
2026-06-14 2.326774 4.714249 9.390836 19.355628 40.463459 83.968146 182.699570
2026-06-21 2.267316 4.672267 9.465367 19.864143 42.312493 89.483826 198.750079
2026-06-28 2.228247 4.669021 9.617242 20.545129 44.581123 96.063556 217.755822